Backgammon

At this point, the beginner should become aware that backgammon is a game of luck and skill. No modern Computer can figure the percentage of luck against skill in most gambling games. It is no different in backgammon. There is no question that a beginner will clip the ears off the pro if he rolls the proper dice.

It is also true that at a crucial point of a backgammon game, one perfect roll can change the entire game. This adds to the excitement and unpredictability of the game.

One can safely say that if two players of equal skill are engaged in a game, the one with the best dice will win. Likewise, of two players with equal luck, the one with the most skill will win.

Since luck does play such an important part in the game, the beginner should become aware of the odds. "Odds" is defined as being the ratio of probability that something is so, will occur, or is more likely to occur than something eise.

In other words, in the course of a game you might find that double sixes are just what you need in order to execute your strategy. Keep in mind that the odds against rolling double sixes are thirty-five to one, definitely not much to bank on.

As far as odds are concerned, remember that rules are often made to be broken. The odds will serve you well at times; however, at other times, when you have learned how your Opponent plays, they may well be dispensed with. This is true in backgammon as it is in bridge. Often conventional methods of play are changed upon confronting a special Situation.

The list of odds below should be kept in the back of your mind. But do not use them with any other dice game; they will not work.

Here are the odds against rolling desired numbers or combinations of numbers on dice.

Number of Spaces Away	Approximate Odds Against
1	2 to 1 plus
2	2 to 1
3	3 to 2
4	7 to 5
5	7 to 5
6	Even plus
7	5 to 1
8	5 to 1
9	6 to 1
10	11 to 1
11	17 to 1
12	11 to 1
15	35 to 1
16	35 to 1
18	35 to 1
20	35 to 1
24	35 to 1

Here are the odds for rolling the proper combinations for bringing your man off the bar and back into the game.

Number of Points Covered (Blocked) On Opponent's Home Board	Approximate Odds
1	35 to 1 for
2	8 to 1 for
3	3 to 1 for
4	5 to 4 for
5	1.5 to 1 against

Finally, keep in mind that in all games of chance the "feel" of the dice must be considered. If you have ever shot crap, recall how often you have feit either your number or a seven coming up.

It Stands to reason that improving your skill in backgammon will also improve your chance of winning. If you become serious at the game and play enough, your skill will come out ahead of your luck in the long run.